Lump-Sum Investing vs Cost Averaging
You just received a large sum of money (e.g., an inheritance or bonus) and you want to invest it. Should you invest it all at once or break it up and put a little in the market each month over a period of time?
This is a very common question.
Let's look at the findings from a Vanguard research paper entitled Cost averaging: Invest now or temporarily hold your cash?
The two methods will be abbreviated as follows:
LS = lump-sum investing
CA = cost averaging (often called dollar cost averaging)
Summary of Findings
LS outperformed CA 68% of the time measured after one year.
The longer the CA horizon, the greater the opportunity costs incurred and the greater LS's performance advantage over CA.
LS in most cases yielded greater wealth after one year, but also greater losses in some of the worst market environments.
Investors with significant loss aversion may be better suited for a CA strategy.
Even if you're an investor with high loss aversion, it's best to minimize opportunity costs by keeping a relatively short CA period, such as three months.
A CA strategy is superior to remaining entirely in cash.
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Bottom Line
Lump-sum investing beats cost averaging about 2/3 of the time.
Nevertheless, cost averaging may be suitable for risk-averse investors.